US political scientist hails Indian elections, says BJP will win 305 seats

Friday, 24 May, 2024
Ian Bremmer, founder of risk and research consulting firm, Eurasia Group. (Photo courtesy: Wikimedia Commons)

New Delhi: Hailing India's "free and fair, and transparent" electoral process, America's top political scientist and global political risk consultant has said that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will win 305 (+/- 10) seats in the ongoing Lok Sabha elections.

Ian Bremmer founder of risk and research consulting firm, Eurasia Group, told NDTV Profit that Prime Minister Narendra Modi "is almost certainly going to win a third term on the back of pretty strong economic performance and consistent reform (and) that, in the grand scheme, is a very stabilizing message."

In an optimistic outlook, Bremmer said that from a global perspective, "Indian election is the only thing that looks stable and consistent... everything else (including the United States election due in November) is problematic".

Bremmer's view corresponds with political expert Prashant Kishor, who ruffled feathers in the country after he predicted that the BJP is set to surpass its 2019 Lok Sabha elections tally (303 seats).

The BJP rode to power with 282 seats in 2014, and its National Democratic Alliance (NDA) won 336 seats in total. It bettered its tally in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections by winning 303 seats, becoming the only party to have achieved the feat after Congress.

In the ongoing elections, the party hopes to touch the ‘400-figure mark by hoping to win more seats in southern states like Telangana, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu and retain the ones in northern and western states.

Lauding India's economic growth, Bremmer told NDTV Profit that the country will likely become the fourth-largest economy in the world next year, and the third-largest by 2028.

"The world has seen that India has underperformed for decades. India has incredible demographic weight and very strong intellectual capital... so many American CEOs come from India. Yet India, as an economy, underperformed."

"Now we see growth picking up. We see India becoming the fourth largest economy in the world, likely next year, and the third largest probably by 2028. But we also see India becoming more powerful in terms of defining its friendship with (the) rest of the world."